Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 81929.836232 86495.085788 91060.110881 95964.184429 101080.127421 106256.411875 111886.328917
2025-05-11 73966.748500 80916.330857 88061.740881 95947.506323 104396.031101 113165.678585 122946.540661
2025-05-18 68442.141644 77013.043879 86020.759958 96172.577730 107274.240208 119024.574090 132380.409896
2025-05-25 64071.944943 73831.738595 84279.548531 96261.842545 109588.856507 123921.156622 140464.060739
2025-06-01 61166.622354 71953.278463 83685.360262 97343.413413 112754.404669 129552.374329 149192.810786
2025-06-08 57858.347481 69375.265551 82086.743856 97089.371430 114240.771395 133164.801430 155549.195922
2025-06-15 56011.861682 68313.872574 82069.715126 98502.468182 117505.779784 138696.779955 164016.023850
2025-06-22 54006.708663 66938.710040 81577.756309 99265.284198 119940.175698 143223.629899 171302.956391
2025-06-29 51840.814186 65258.090317 80626.438403 99397.306583 121562.902393 146758.663259 177411.161278
2025-07-06 49830.451498 63663.666627 79687.268694 99460.402744 123034.742169 150067.216857 183224.446151
2025-07-13 48904.195092 63316.808692 80180.130154 101180.692294 126432.548125 155613.224203 191664.147518
2025-07-20 47909.165449 62831.505371 80461.250945 102609.993296 129460.285023 160717.405855 199598.773128
2025-07-27 46546.530437 61862.340991 80138.831278 103308.326009 131631.195181 164851.093040 206462.379025
2025-08-03 44889.898637 60469.022841 79248.206961 103271.778403 132884.563814 167878.235898 212015.127113
2025-08-10 43472.127759 59322.019705 78613.314708 103506.582952 134435.709319 171244.976054 217975.730091
2025-08-17 42074.701602 58148.778093 77899.024086 103600.438553 135780.453742 174342.027039 223606.419221
2025-08-24 41254.809247 57683.839522 78045.899494 104748.091664 138415.802230 179011.461355 231170.005312
2025-08-31 39835.318810 56391.636578 77100.456192 104478.454065 139252.766226 181456.293482 236003.283589
2025-09-07 39282.339591 56212.268482 77558.257637 105977.958657 142305.547201 186642.201283 244239.391656
2025-09-14 38459.783016 55645.971542 77492.414044 106787.322062 144475.648593 190734.562982 251138.938385
2025-09-21 37393.580716 54719.594657 76928.363043 106927.393368 145775.264466 193732.354207 256680.985823
2025-09-28 36348.277818 53788.619325 76328.644340 106994.335652 146961.109057 196577.250447 262034.593635
2025-10-05 36069.561859 53887.547040 77077.294232 108819.309460 150413.718042 202295.346478 271033.896457